Box Office Forecast – Uncharted Prediction

What will Uncharted make at the Domestic and Worldwide box office? We’ll be covering the majority of Hollywood blockbusters and determining their potential at the box office. It’s clear that a lot of nuance is still required when interpreting and discussing box office as we are still in the midst of the pandemic. The Omicron variant of Covid-19 continues to surge at record rates across the globe and it may continue to disrupt the recovery of the box office as we have a stacked 2022 release slate upon us. Seriously, this year offers a high rate of anticipated blockbusters that hold some good box office potential – The Batman, Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever, Avatar 2 and the list goes on…

We’ll kick off with the advantages and disadvantages for Uncharted‘s box office prospects before finally arriving at our final predictions for the films opening and final run.

Advantages:

  • Tom Holland is arguably one of the deciding factors here because there is very little debate that Tom Holland is probably the most popular actor at this point of time coming over the success of Spider-Man: No Way Home. However, there is no authentic evidence that Tom Holland is a draw as none of his films have had a significant box office run and even on streaming, no reports about the popularity of those films such as Cherry. Despite this surprising fact, I believe that times have changed and Tom Holland has acclaimed a new level of stardom that may go a long way in promoting this film.
  • Coming off a modestly popular video game franchise, Uncharted is more than just a loyal fandom but has extended to the general audience of the gaming world. This creates a fairly recognizable IP that will allow more than dedicated gamers who have ventured into this world. While this does assist in getting more people in seats, an existing IP can only do so much to elevate its box office – take Assassins Creed for example, that was based on a far more popular gaming franchise.

Disadvantages:

  • Omicron – as per usual, you must once again consider the Covid-19 variant as we can see its impacts on other films. Will the surge of Omicron have slowed as we approach the release date? Who knows. There is literally no way to predict these external influences but we can at least ponder whether, Covid-19 or no Covid-19, would it have an major effect on the box office potential. It is an IP-driven property that can secure fans of the IP but it would this even sell to the general audience without the risk of Covid-19? Probably not considering the weak marketing campaign.
  • The track record of video games at the box office doesn’t have a pretty history as most have failed to spark any life in an attempted film franchise. You have films such as Sonic the Hedgehog and Angry Birds that had some modest success at the box office but nothing overly significant. At its best, Uncharted‘s box office performance may just fit nicely amongst these films but its important to consider that this is a harder sell at the family-friendly films.

Final Predictions:

Worldwide Box Office:

Total: $275 million

Domestic Box Office:

Opening Weekend: $30 million

Total: $100 million

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