Box Office Predictions for 2023: Dune Part Two, Barbie, & More!

Film Stills for Oppenheimer, Barbie and Mission Impossible: Dead Reckoning - Part One

Dune: Part Two, Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3, Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny, Fast X, Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom, and a huge amount of other films are on the way for 2023!

It felt like the movie gods were giving us a special line-up for 2022 but reality kicked in and the delays started to come. It is being forecasted that there will be a lower volume of theatrical releases through 2023 and 2024 – so the box office industry will likely remain below pre-pandemic levels until, at least, 2025. Learn more on Yahoo Finance.

Every year, I make predictions right before the year comes into place (My 2022 Box Office Predictions) and I love to reflect to see how accurate I was. Granted, there are way more affecting factors that no one can foresee but who knew Top Gun: Maverick would do as well as it did!! Overall, I am happy with my predictions – I got fairly close on some (Jurassic World: Dominion, Fantastic Beasts 3, & Doctor Strange 2) and way off on others (Top Gun: Maverick, Thor: Love and Thunder and Lightyear).

Let’s take a deep dive into my box office predictions for 2023: 

Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania

Jonathan Majors as Kang the Conqueror in Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania - Courtesy of Disney/Marvel.

Domestic Box Office:

Opening Weekend: $90 million

Total: $230 million

Worldwide Box Office:

Total: $675 million

Creed III

Michael B. Jordan stars as Adonis Creed and Jonathan Majors as Damian Anderson in CREED III, a Metro Goldwyn Mayer Pictures film.

Domestic Box Office:

Opening Weekend: $32 million

Total: $110 million

Worldwide Box Office:

Total: $190 million

Shazam! Fury of the Gods

(L-r) ROSS BUTLER as Super Hero Eugene, ADAM BRODY as Super Hero Freddy, GRACE CAROLINE CURREY as Super Hero Mary, ZACHARY LEVI as Shazam, MEAGAN GOOD as Super Hero Darla and D.J. COTRONA as Super Hero Pedro in New Line Cinema’s action adventure “SHAZAM! FURY OF THE GODS,” a Warner Bros. Pictures release.

Domestic Box Office:

Opening Weekend: $60 million

Total: $150 million

Worldwide Box Office:

Total: $410 million

John Wick: Chapter 4

Keanu Reeves as John Wick in John Wick: Chapter 4 - Courtesy of Lionsgate/Studiocanal.

Domestic Box Office:

Opening Weekend: $55 million

Total: $170 million

Worldwide Box Office:

Total: $350 million

Dungeons & Dragons: Honour Among Thieves

Dungeons & Dragons: Honor Among Thieves Poster - Starring Chris Pine, and Michelle Rodriguez - Courtesy of Paramount Pictures.

Domestic Box Office:

Opening Weekend: $48 million

Total: $125 million

Worldwide Box Office:

Total: $300 million

The Super Mario Bros. Movie

Chris Pratt as Mario in The Super Mario Bros Movie - Courtesy of Universal Pictures.

Domestic Box Office:

Opening Weekend: $60 million

Total: $177 million

Worldwide Box Office:

Total: $565 million

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3

Chris Pratt, Zoe Saldana, Dave Bautista, Karen Gillan, Sean Gunn, Pom Klementieff, Bradley Cooper, and Vin Diesel all star in Guardians of the Galaxy Vol.3 - Courtesy of Disney/Marvel.

Domestic Box Office:

Opening Weekend: $175 million

Total: $420 million

Worldwide Box Office:

Total: $975 million

Fast X

Vin Diesel as Dominic Toretto in the Fast and Furious film series - Courtesy of Universal Pictures.

Domestic Box Office:

Opening Weekend: $80 million

Total: $175 million

Worldwide Box Office:

Total: $915 million

The Little Mermaid

Halle Bailey as Ariel in The Little Mermaid - Courtesy of Disney.

Domestic Box Office:

Opening Weekend: $90 million

Total: $270 million

Worldwide Box Office:

Total: $750 million

Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

Shameik Moore as Miles Morales in Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse - Courtesy of Sony Pictures.

Domestic Box Office:

Opening Weekend: $45 million

Total: $190 million

Worldwide Box Office:

Total: $420 million

Transformers: Rise of the Beasts

Transformers: Rise of the Beasts - Courtesy of Paramount Pictures.

Domestic Box Office:

Opening Weekend: $38 million

Total: $120 million

Worldwide Box Office:

Total: $370 million

Elemental

Fire and Water in Elemental - Courtesy of Disney/Pixar.

Domestic Box Office:

Opening Weekend: $45 million

Total: $140 million

Worldwide Box Office:

Total: $400 million

The Flash

Ezra Miller as the Flash in The Flash - Courtesy of Warner Brothers/DC.

Domestic Box Office:

Opening Weekend: $95 million

Total: $170 million

Worldwide Box Office:

Total: $480 million

Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny

Harrison Ford as Indiana Jones in Indiana Jones and Dial of Destiny - Courtesy of Disney.

Domestic Box Office:

Opening Weekend: $130 million

Total: $370 million

Worldwide Box Office:

Total: $915 million

Mission: Impossible – Dead Reckoning Part One

Hayley Atwell as Grace and Tom Cruise  as Ethan Hunt in Mission Impossible: Dead Reckoning - Part One - Courtesy of Paramount Pictures.

Domestic Box Office:

Opening Weekend: $80 million

Total: $270 million

Worldwide Box Office:

Total: $890 million

Barbie

MARGOT ROBBIE as Barbie in Warner Bros. Pictures’ “BARBIE,” a Warner Bros. Pictures release.

Domestic Box Office:

Opening Weekend: $55 million

Total: $225 million

Worldwide Box Office:

Total: $550 million

Oppenheimer

Cillian Murphy as J. Robert Oppenheimer in Oppenheimer - Courtesy of Universal Pictures.

Domestic Box Office:

Opening Weekend: $65 million

Total: $230 million

Worldwide Box Office:

Total: $615 million

The Marvels

Iman Vellani as Ms Marvel, Brie Larson as Carol Danvers/Captain Marvel and Teyonah Paris as Monica Rambeau in The Marvels - Courtesy of Disney/Marvel.

Domestic Box Office:

Opening Weekend: $115 million

Total: $315 million

Worldwide Box Office:

Total: $900 million

Kraven the Hunter

Aaron Taylor Johnson as Kraven the Hunter

Domestic Box Office:

Opening Weekend: $40 million

Total: $110 million

Worldwide Box Office:

Total: $240 million

Dune: Part Two

Dune Part Two (2023) - Promotional Banner - Courtesy of Warner Brothers.

Domestic Box Office:

Opening Weekend: $65 million

Total: $200 million

Worldwide Box Office:

Total: $640 million

The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds and Snakes 

The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds and Snakes - Courtesy of Lionsgate/Studiocanal.

Domestic Box Office:

Opening Weekend: $35 million

Total: $95 million

Worldwide Box Office:

Total: $200 million

Wish

Concept Art for new Disney Princess 2023 film - Wish

Domestic Box Office:

Opening Weekend: $65 million

Total: $290 million

Worldwide Box Office:

Total: $700 million

Wonka

Timothee Chalamet as Willy Wonka in Wonka - Courtesy of Warner Brothers.

Domestic Box Office:

Opening Weekend: $32 million

Total: $110 million

Worldwide Box Office:

Total: $320 million

Ghostbusters: Afterlife 2

Ghostbusters: Afterlife Promotional Image - Courtesy of Sony Pictures.

Domestic Box Office:

Opening Weekend: $47 million

Total: $120 million

Worldwide Box Office:

Total: $250 million

Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom

Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom - Fan-edit. Jason Momoa as Aquaman.

Domestic Box Office:

Opening Weekend: $85 million

Total: $400 million

Worldwide Box Office:

Total: $1 billion

There is so much to look forward to for 2023 whether that is our first introduction to Kang the Conqueror in the Ant-Man sequel, Timothee Chalamet as Willy Wonka, the final Guardians of the Galaxy film or the final appearance for Harrison Ford as Indiana Jones. From a box office perspective, there are some great stories to look out for. Barbie vs Oppenheimer? Can the MCU get another billion dollar film in 2023? Who will take the box office crown for the year? This year feels like it is completely wide-open.

I will be breaking down my predictions throughout a series of posts as we lead up to the 2023 film slate and provide an in-depth prediction closer to each films release date. Stay tuned for those!

You can check out my post that I did on what film would hit a billion first following the pandemic: https://moviegainz.com/2021/03/17/the-future-of-the-box-office-what-will-be-the-next-film-to-make-1-billion/ (I stick to Avatar: The Way of Water making $2 billion – watch and see). 

Who will take the box office crown for the year? It’s a completely wide-open year. Our winner? Aquaman and the Last Kingdom.

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