How will “Meg 2: The Trench” perform at the box office? In our long-range box office forecast, we are going to take a look at how it’ll take on the domestic and worldwide box office (see below).
Meg 2: The Trench
“The Meg” was a surprise box office hit in August 2018 opening to a decent $45.4M to a domestic total of $145.4M. Internationally, it was even more impressive, crossing the half-billion mark (something a lot of films have struggled to do this year) with $530.2M. A huge chunk of this came from its China gross which was $153M so what do they do? Tailor the sequel to the Chinese market.
So is it destined to be another box office hit? Unlikely. The market is very different than what it was in 2018 and audiences preferences are changing as this summer has indicated a fatigue in mediocrity. If Meg 2: The Trench can rise above that and be more than a popcorn flick then perhaps it has a chance at success. The “Barbenheimer” phenomenon is currently still at full force and entering week 3, it can grab some premium screens but not as much as it would’ve hoped.
One of the things that hold “Meg 2: The Trench” back is the current competition and the August release slate. “Barbie” and “Oppenheimer” are playing far beyond expectations and having incredibly low drops so they’ll have a significant presence during the film’s tenure. It is opening against a revitalised and highly reviewed “Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles” which will be followed by “Gran Turismo”, “Strays” and “Blue Beetle” in the coming release.
It is currently tracking for less than $3M Thursday Previews which isn’t an encouraging sign at this point – perhaps the success of this film won’t be determined by the domestic market. In China, the film has surpassed $2M in pre-sales and tracking ahead of “The Meg” indicating that it should find some success there.
Our Box Office Forecast for Meg 2: The Trench:
Domestic Box Office:
Opening Weekend: $23 million
Total: $80 million
Worldwide Box Office:
Total: $390 million
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