How will Transformers: Rise of the Beasts perform at the box office? In our long-range box office forecast, we are going to take a look at how it’ll take on the domestic and worldwide box office.
Transformers: Rise of the Beasts
Is the Transformers film franchise dead in the water? Is revival possible? Can it ever reach the same heights it once did? Did Bumblebee restore some faith in the franchise? So many questions with such a Fast and Furiousy franchise. My answer would be no to all of the above.
The franchise is not dead in the water – I will point to Fast and Furious since they’re the same genre of pure popcorn blockbuster fun, nothing else more. Remember, The Fast and the Furious: Tokyo Drift (2006) hit franchise lows at $62M domestically and $156M. That franchise has since had multiple billion dollar hits since then. Nothing else can convince me that a franchise is ever dead.
However, I do not think revival is possible – at least, not to the same heights it once did. The latest outing in Bumblebee (2018) only did $127M domestically and that was during the holiday period. It was saved by a strong $340M international outing for $467M worldwide. Facing low visibility in that film and I don’t think it was even good enough to suddenly restore faith in the franchise completely.
Still, this is the Transformers brand and with that, comes a dedicated fanbase and box office expectations.
Box Office Performance of previous Transformers films:
- Transformers – $70.5M Opening Weekend, $319M Domestic and $709M Worldwide
- Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen – $108.9M Opening Weekend, $402M Domestic and $836M Worldwide
- Transformers: Dark of the Moon – $97M Opening Weekend, $352M Domestic and $1.12B Worldwide
- Transformers: Age of Extinction – $100M Opening Weekend, $245M Domestic and $1.1B Worldwide
- Transformers: The Last Knight – $44M Opening Weekend, $130M Domestic and $605M Worldwide
- Bumblebee – $21M Opening Weekend, $127M Domestic and $467M Worldwide
You can see the upward and downward trends right here. What is interesting is that while downward trend is significant and on a worldwide level, it seems that the domestic market is slipping further and faster. This is the current trend of the Fast and Furious franchise – even the domestic vs worldwide disparity is very similar.
China Box Office for the Transformers franchise:
- Transformers – $37M
- Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen – $65M
- Transformers: Dark of the Moon – $165M
- Transformers: Age of Extinction – $301M
- Transformers: The Last Knight – $228M
- Bumblebee – $170M
These numbers are absolutely massive and it honestly remains one of the Hollywood’s biggest franchise in the chinese market. China has its own complications right now with Hollywood films as we have seen the numbers down across every single film – although Fast X will provide a metric into how bad the damage is. This is something I have covered more extensively in the long-range forecasting for Fast X. Sandwiched in-between tough competition both before and after release, it’ll be tough to find some room for Transformers: Rise of the Beasts to be a global hit. However, the franchise is capable for putting up big numbers due to its worldwide appeal but the main mission here should be to restore faith in this brand as a movie franchise.
Remember, if Fast and Furious can make a spectacular comeback as a movie franchise, then anything can… with all due respect. Sometimes it just takes some innovation and I feel Paramount is attempting that here.
Our Box Office Forecast for Transformers: Rise of the Beast:
Domestic Box Office:
Opening Weekend: $48 million
Total: $120 million
Worldwide Box Office:
Total: $490 million
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