How will Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse perform at the box office? In our long-range box office prediction, we are going to take a look at how it’ll take on the domestic and worldwide box office.
Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse
This is going to be a very interesting box office performance. Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse only made $34M opening weekend and ended up grossing $190M total DOM – however, assisted by the holiday season. Worldwide, it took in $384M so the animated franchise remains far from the tentpole release status.
Five years have passed and Into the Spider-Verse has risen in popularity and has an incredible amount of goodwill behind it – Best Animated Film at the Oscars, 66th top-rated movie on IMDB, and 97% critic rating / 93% audience score on Rotten Tomatoes. So there is a lot to love regarding the sequel’s potential at the box office – a lot of my thinking is pondering the question of if the really casual moviegoers are ready or interested in an animated Spider-Man film. I guess that’ll be answered soon…
Advantages:
- Obviously, as previously discussed, Into the Spider-Verse has an incredibly strong reputation to back itself up. Any previous sceptics about an animated Spider-Man movie were quickly quieted with one of the best animated showings in the last decade, to the point where that film has had ripple effects on the animation industry.
- Historically speaking, animated films usually experience better legs and often have some immunity to critical reviews (see The Super Mario Bros. Movie). In Spider-Verse’s case, the film managed to pull in $190M from a $35M opening. I don’t expect Across the Spider-Verse to have legs that strong due to the front-loaded nature of sequels but it should hope to hold strong.
- With The Super Mario Bros. Movie winding down and by this film’s release date, the demand for a family-friendly film during the summer holidays will be high – which Spider-Verse will nicely capitalize off.
- When it comes to the family-friendly films of the summer, Spider-Verse is trending higher than the other titles that will be coming in the weeks following its release. Almost solidifying, its dominance in the animated feature space across the summer.
- The Spider-Man brand continues to function at an all-time high. Coming from the success of Spider-Man (PS4), Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse, Spider-Man: No Way Home and Spider-Man’s appearances in Avengers: Infinity War and Avengers: Endgame.
Disadvantages:
- While it may be trending the highest, the competition from upcoming family-friendly films will have an impact. Transformers: Rise of the Beasts releases the week after Spider-Verse which shares the demographic for young boys as well as Elemental’s release which also targets the family unit. There is also The Flash and Indiana Jones quickly on the horizon.
- The reported runtime for the film is currently 2 hours and 20 minutes, which usually isn’t a major deterrent for a film. However, this is the longest runtime for a western animated film and perhaps the family demographics may choose an alternative. Additionally, this could affect the rewatchability factor which holds major weight in the legs of a box office run.
- The fact that this is an animated sequel does and should allow pause for concern when interpreting box office. Animated sequels can be a hit or miss when building upon their previous earnings:
- Kung Fu Panda did $215M, its sequel did $165M
- How to Train Your Dragon did $217M, its sequel did $177M
- The Secret Life of Pets did $368M, its sequel did $158M
- The LEGO Movie did $257M, its sequel did $105M
- Minions did $336M, its sequel did $369M
- Toy Story did $223M, its sequel did $245M
- Incredibles did $261M, its sequel did $608M
- Frozen did $400M, its sequel did $477M
If I were a betting man, I would contest that the Spider-Verse goes upwards.
Our Box Office Prediction for Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse:
Domestic Box Office:
Opening Weekend: $120 million
Total: $350 million
Worldwide Box Office:
Total: $650 million
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