In our weekend box office forecast, we note that April shows no sign of slowing down at the box office even with a weakened release slate as The Super Mario Bros. Movie looks to continue its stunning performance for a massive second weekend.
The Super Mario Bros. Movie
It looks like word of mouth is carrying The Super Mario Bros. Movie to very impressive heights – already becoming one of the most surprising box office debuts in the past decade. If projections remain correct, then the film will drop a very mild 40-45% for over $80M for a second weekend, placing it in the top 12 second weekends of all time. Grossing an estimated $22.6M on Friday, the path is clear for a mighty second stint at the box office and assuming it carries this momentum through to March – it could challenge as the highest grossing animated film of all-time.
Renfield
Not glowing with exception reviews and mixed word of mouth, Renfield looks to open lower than what projections have suggested. Acquiring a B- CinemaScore, it doesn’t look like the Nicholas Cage vampire flick will draw any blood from its box office opponents.
Here is my Weekend Box Office Forecast:
| Films: | Weekend Forecast: |
| The Super Mario Bros. Movie | $84,000,000 |
| The Pope’s Exorcist | $10,200,000 |
| Air | $9,250,000 |
| Dungeons & Dragons: Honor Among Thieves | $9,200,000 |
| John Wick: Chapter 4 | $9,150,000 |
| Renfield | $8,800,000 |
| Suzume | $5,600,000 |
| Scream VI | $1,900,000 |
| Creed III | $1,750,000 |
| His Only Son | $1,250,000 |
Weekend Box Office Forecast for April 14-16, 2023
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