In this weekend box office forecast, we are going to take a look at how it’ll take on the domestic box office for this upcoming weekend as The Super Mario Bros. Movie continues its unprecedented run.
As we are entering the summer movie season, April was not destined to be a strong month at the box office – however, The Super Mario Bros. Movie has made April a very strong month and to the heights of 2017 where The Fate of the Furious owned that month. It’s hard to compare to 2018 and 2019 April as Avengers: Infinity War and Avengers: Endgame opened in those months and obviously, provide a huge boost.
The Super Mario Bros. Movie
Coming off a record third weekend for an animated film where it earned $59.9M, it looks to repeat with the highest fourth weekend for an animated film. The current record is Incredibles 2 fourth weekend of $28.4M and Mario looks set to take in $40M+. Mario is excelling due to virtually no competition, a ramped up demand for family films and strong word of mouth.
The more impressive feat to look for in this weekend’s box office is where Mario can strike on all-time leaderboard for fourth weekends. Let’s take a look at the top fourth weekend’s in history:
- Avatar – $50.3M
- Avatar: The Way of Water – $45.8M
- Top Gun: Maverick – $44.6M
- Star Wars: The Force Awakens – $42.3M
- Black Panther – $40.8M
If projections are accurate and The Super Mario Bros. Movie has a very mild drop, then it can establish itself among some of the great box office performances of all-time.
Are You There God? It’s Me, Margaret
Coming off the popular and widely acclaimed novel, this film looks to provide some fresh programming into the cinema due to its target demographics. The novel has its own popular culture footprint and will appeal to women over the age of 25 while trying to expand into younger demographics. With strong reviews (currently 99% from 81 critics on Rotten Tomatoes), it is expected to play nicely leading into Mothers Day.
Weekend Box Office Forecast for April 28-30, 2023:
| Film | Weekend Forecast: |
| The Super Mario Bros. Movie | $40,800,000 |
| Are You There God? It’s Me, Margaret. | $11,500,000 |
| Evil Dead Rise | $11,000,000 |
| Sisu | $4,800,000 |
| Big George Foreman | $4,700,000 |
| Dungeons & Dragons: Honor Among Thieves | $4,200,000 |
| Air | $3,600,000 |
| John Wick: Chapter 4 | $3,550,000 |
| Guy Ritchie’s The Covenant | $3,500,000 |
| Beau is Afraid | $1,840,000 |
Subscribe to the MovieGainz Email Newsletter and never miss out on our box updates including forecasting, predictions and analysis.
